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    Sales pick up as homes get cheaper due to note ban, GST, RERA

    Synopsis

    It shows that although the demonetisation impact is waning, the market is yet to see a complete revival and is still in buyers’ favour.

    Real- Estate
    Markets high on ready-to-move inventory such as Hyderabad and Ahmedabad saw prices move up 3% and 2%, respectively, showed the report.
    MUMBAI: Residential real estate market is slowly coming out of the shadow of demonetisation woes as housing sales across the top eight property markets for the quarter ended December have risen 28% from a year ago to 51,701apartments.

    While this is an uptick compared to a lower base recorded during the demonetisation quarter, the performance was also helped by the implementation of RERA and effective 10-15% price correction across key markets. However, it still remains tepid as it shows a drop of 28% compared to the last quarter of 2015 when these markets cumulatively recorded sales of 71,820 units, a Knight Frank India report said.

    Total sales for the second half of 2017 across these markets including Mumbai Metropolitan Region, National Capital Region, Bangalore, Pune, Chennai and Hyderabad have declined 2% from a year ago to 107,316 units. It shows that although the demonetisation impact is waning, the market is yet to see a complete revival and is still in buyers’ favour.

    “The near standstill triggered by demonetisation seems to have tapered with time. At the same time stakeholders are growing in confidence with the gradual acceptance of structural reforms such as the Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, 2016. Meanwhile, select markets, wherein RERA has matured, have witnessed developers re-launch projects at attractive prices which led to an uptick in sales volumes in 2017,” said Shishir Baijal, CMD, Knight Frank India. “The strategic switch in developers’ approach has led to a price reduction in most markets.

    All in all it is a buyers’ market today. And, we hope the momentum to hold steady in the near future.” New launches across these markets at 19,148 units, witnessed a drop of 21% and 70% compared to December quarter of 2017 and 2015, respectively. Volume of new projects entering the market in the second half of 2017 stood at 40,832 units approximately onefourth of the supply levels in entire 2015. Interestingly, launches in 2017 plummeted by staggering 78% from the peak of 2010.

    During the year 2017, sales volume was down 62% from the peak of 2011 and was at its seven-year low with 7% decline as against 2016. Sales continued to struggle across markets with Bangalore registering a 34% drop, while Mumbai and NCR markets saw a 19% and a 21% spike, respectively, owing to the demonetisation base effect.

    “As the dust from these radical transformations settles, their impact is wearing off gradually. The Indian real estate market looks very bullish for the next five years, especially in larger cities as real estate prices have already bottomed out and stabilised. Fence sitters who had postponed their buying decision expecting further fall are coming back to the market opting for best available deals,” said Niranjan Hiranandani, CMD, Hiranandani Group.

    Bangalore, in particular, recorded decline in both launches at 37% and sales at 34% for the first time in the second half of 2017. Hyderabad also recorded the decadal low in home launches. The weighted average prices fell by an average of 3% across cities with Pune witnessing the highest decline of 7% on-year followed by Mumbai at 5%.

    Markets high on ready-to-move inventory such as Hyderabad and Ahmedabad saw prices move up 3% and 2%, respectively, showed the report. At 84%, Hyderabad recorded steepest fall in launches, while other IT/ITeS dominated markets such as Pune, Bangalore and Chennai saw launches declining 58%, 37% and 33%, respectively. In the commercial property segment, new completions increased by 7% in 2017 but not at par with occupiers’ demand.

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